China's gold demand is expected to grow 1 percent this year to a
record of around 860 tonnes, the global head of metals at consultancy
Thomson Reuters GFMS said on Thursday, with both jewellery and
investment sales rising.
That increase means China will
overtake India as the world's biggest consumer of gold for the first
time on a yearly basis, Philip Klapwijk told the online Reuters Global
Gold Forum.
"China will overtake India ... both in overall demand terms and as the world's largest jewellery market," he said.
He
said China's jewellery demand is expected to climb to around 520
tonnes from 515 tonnes in 2011, while investment is seen at around 270
tonnes, up from 265 tonnes last year. The balance, of around 70 tonnes,
is industrial consumption, Klapwijk said.
China is already the main consumer of a range of commodities, including copper, coal and iron ore.
It
is also the biggest gold producer, with mine output of 371 tonnes in
2011, but it is still having to import large quantities of gold to
satisfy domestic demand.
Klapwijk said gross imports of gold
were likely to top 800 tonnes this year, with the majority channelled
through Hong Kong. However, a "substantial part" of those will be
'round-tripped', a practice by which gold is transported to a certain
location, then quickly re-exported.
"Over 40 percent of flows from Hong Kong in 2012 we estimate is for 'round tripping'," he said.
He
said local trade sources suggested gold recycling -- a major source of
supply to the gold market -- was likely to remain flat year-on-year.
"This
is in spite of higher local prices," he said. "It's not that different
to the picture elsewhere. (It) seems we need to ratchet up to another
big figure - $2,000? - before a really big shift up in scrap supply
occurs."
Spot gold prices are up nearly 10 percent this year to
around $1,720 an ounce, but remain well off the record high at
$1,920.30 an ounce they hit in September last year.
With the
wedding and festival season on, the second half of the current calendar
year is expected to put drooping jewellery sales back on track and
take the annual gold demand to the usual 800-and-odd tonnes this year
too, said Vipin Sharma,wholesale fashion jewelry and cheap wholesale jewelry online supplier. Director (Jewellery),We judge ourselves not according to the smile on our ownfigurine. World Gold Council.
In
the first half of the year, there was 8 per cent drop (in value terms)
in jewellery demand from that of the comparable period last year.
However, in the first half of the current year, due to price volatility of the metal, jewellery demand dropped significantly.
To
shore up the falling demand, World Gold Council, for the first time in
the world, has taken an initiative to launch its own jewellery brand
in the market, and promote it.
The not-for-profit, market
development organisation for the gold industry, today launched its
jewellery brand Azva. The agency,The Iron Ring is made from either
wrought iron or stainless steel ring.This tungsten bracelet
for men is constructed in maintenance-free tungsten. in a tie-up with
various manufacturers across the country and their design teams, has
designed a range of wedding jewellery.
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